Markets fall as the conflict in the middle-east continues. The signs of private credit stress continue to worry, while central banks threaten to raise rates… Prepare for a liquidity crunch and an economic crisis in 2026-2027.
An Impending Energy and Economic Crisis Read More »
Explore the risks in private credit markets in 2026, including liquidity constraints, rising defaults, and investor redemptions.
Private Credit Risks in 2026: Liquidity, Defaults, and Hidden Risks Read More »
Learn how credit conditions, financial stress indicators, and credit spreads signal economic downturns before recessions begin.
Credit Conditions and Recessions Read More »
Learn how central banks and banks drive the business cycle through interest rates, credit creation, and monetary policy tightening and easing.
How Interest Rates Drive the Business Cycle Read More »
Learn how the yield curve works, why it inverts, and how it has predicted past recessions with real historical examples.
What Is the Yield Curve and Why It Predicts Recessions Read More »
Learn the 5 key indicators that predict a recession, including the yield curve, interest rates, and credit conditions. Understand the warning signs early.
How to Tell If a Recession Is Coming: 5 Key Indicators to Watch Read More »
Oil prices surge during geopolitical crises—but why? Learn how supply risks, inflation, and markets are all connected.
Why Oil Prices Spike During Geopolitical Crises Read More »
Market Recap: 16-20 March 2026 Review of Financial Markets US Stock Market The US stock market indices dipped for the third consecutive week. The S&P500 and the NASDAQ 100 lost 1.9% and 2%, respectively. The small cap index (Russel 2000) fell 1%. Trading volumes have been slightly higher than average – but not panic-like. The
Gas Infrastructure Under Attack in the Middle East – Inflation Fears at Home Read More »
Market Recap: 9-13 March 2026 Financial Markets US Stock Market The US stock market indices dipped for the second consecutive week, pulled down by the middle east conflict – a perfect catalyst for a correction. For the week, the S&P500 and the NASDAQ 100 lost 1.6% and 1.1%, respectively. The small cap index (Russel 2000)
US and Israel Attack Iran – Mayhem in the Oil Market Read More »
Market Recap: November and December 2025 Financial Markets US Stock Market The stock market dipped during the first half of November but recovered and closed the month essentially unchanged (+0.13% MoM for the S&P500). December was essentially flat, with a slight dip around the 17th of December, followed by a recovery until the end of
Unemployment Rises and Liquidity Dries Up – Is the Storm Coming? Read More »
Market Recap: 6 – 10 October 2025 Financial Markets US Stock Market This week the news of China rare earth restrictions and the US retaliation brought the stock market to a halt. For the week, the S&P500 and the NASDAQ 100 fell 2.4% and 2.3%, respectively, with the selloff concentrated on Friday. The small cap
Black Friday Selloff…I told You So Read More »
Market Recap: 29 September – 3 October 2025 Financial Markets US Stock Market This week the main US stock market indices were positive again, with the S&P500 and the NASDAQ 100 gaining 1.1% and 1.2%, respectively. The small cap index (Russel 2000) pushed up by 1.7%, hitting the historic maximum. Trading volumes were average. COMMODITIES
US Government Shuts Down, Markets Shrug Off Read More »
Market Recap: 22-26 September 2025 Financial Markets US Stock Market This week the main US stock market indices were more muted, with the S&P500 and the NASDAQ 100 losing 0.3% and 0.5%, respectively. The small cap index (Russel 2000) fell 0.8% as it hit the historic maximum. Trading volumes were slightly higher than average, especially
UN General Assembly, US PCE, GDP Higher Read More »
Market Recap: 15-19 September 2025 Financial Markets US Stock Market This week the main US stock market indices were positive, with the S&P500 and the NASDAQ 100 gaining 1.2% and 2.2%, respectively. The small cap index (Russel 2000) climbed 2.3% and is at the historic maximum. Trading volumes were slightly higher than average. COMMODITIES Precious
The FED Forecasts A New Series of Rate Cuts Read More »
Market Recap: 8-12 September 2025 Financial Markets US Stock Market This week the main US stock market indices were positive, fueled by lower than expected producer price index, which increases the chances of a FED rate cut. The S&P500 and the NASDAQ 100 gained 1.6% and 1.9%, respectively. The small cap index (Russel 2000) climbed
Inflation Under Control = Rate Cut Read More »
Market Recap: 1-5 September 2025 Financial Markets US Stock Market This week the main US stock market indices were positive for the week, but show loss of momentum. The S&P500 and the NASDAQ 100 gained 0.3% and 1.0%, respectively. The SPX is at an all-time-high! The small cap index (Russel 2000) climbed 1.0% and is
June 2025 Jobs Contraction = Rate Cuts Read More »
Market Recap: 25-29 August 2025 Financial Markets US Stock Market This week the main US stock market indices (close to all-time highs) were barely changed – the S&P500 and the NASDAQ 100 lost 0.1% and 0.4%, respectively. The small cap index (Russel 2000) climbed 0.2%. Trading volumes were average in general, but the tech sector
NVIDIA Growth Slows, Tech Sells Off Read More »
Market Recap: 18-22 August 2025 Financial Markets US Stock Market This week the markets slowly melted into the Jackson Hole meeting. On Friday, the recovery was notorious as equity markets rejoiced on the dovish commentary of Jerome Powell. The S&P500 gained 0.3% and the NASDAQ 100 lost 0.9% for the week. The small cap index
Powell Opens Door to Rate cuts Read More »
Market Recap: 11 – 15 August 2025 Financial Markets US Stock Market This week the markets continued a slow climb towards new all-time-highs. The S&P500 and the NASDAQ 100 gained 0.9% and 0.4%, respectively. The small cap index (Russel 2000) climbed 2.5% and still sits above the 200-day moving average, a short-term support. Trading volumes
The August Peak and the Alaska Summit Read More »
Market Recap: 28 July – 1 August 2025 Financial Markets US Stock Market This week the markets continued a slow climb towards the previous all-time-high. The S&P500 and the NASDAQ 100 gained 2.4% and 3.7%, respectively. The small cap index (Russel 2000) recovered 2.7% and still sits above the 200-day moving average, a short-term support.
Tariffs are a Go; Russia to Negotiate Read More »
